Agreeable-Catastrophe
0x3857a5bc412a311b78e849ccad7d51bcbfe93a59
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-351.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
658 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Romania beat Austria?
642 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PSG beat Chelsea?
282 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
182 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?
51 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-23.91
- NO
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?$23.91Dec 8, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 27, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?$10.00Nov 27, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$122.94Sep 26, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$21.43Sep 26, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$100.00Sep 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 17, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG beat Chelsea?$5.00Jul 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG beat Chelsea?$15.00Jul 13, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania beat Austria?$77.00Jun 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$100.00Jun 2, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$100.00May 20, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$468.29May 18, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$200.00May 14, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $82.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 12:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".