Oddball-Sonata
0x38584b47d7ee419cb976963c4d193f835aa74d71
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$31.17
Total PnL
$-105.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
31 shares @ 64.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$31.17
$11.17
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
2085 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
329 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
154 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
43 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
OpenAI browser in 2025?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
25 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$14.93Dec 14, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?$3.00Dec 11, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.55Dec 11, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$3.00Dec 9, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Dec 3, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$54.05Dec 1, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$10.00Nov 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: November$40.00Nov 24, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$16.50Nov 17, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Nov 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$5.00Nov 10, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.00Nov 9, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.00Nov 2, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$36.80Nov 2, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$10.00Oct 23, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?$10.00Oct 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$20.00Oct 23, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by November 10?$10.00Oct 23, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$10.00Oct 23, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.