Active-Methane
0x386d17027f1c9bcde34c9c12ada287ef950f9bb6
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.9K
Realised
$9.1K
Win rate
77%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4?
1002350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?
41295 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.65
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
35929 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-142.67
- DOWN
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
35624 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the June meeting?
26089 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-805.75
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?
26005 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-218.36
- YES
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?
20216 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2025$0.00
$-881.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?$17.08May 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$12.95May 6, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$42.00May 5, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$26.69May 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$5.20May 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$10.40May 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$15.60May 1, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLLightning vs. Canadiens$5.00May 1, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$0.48May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$5.42May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$1.09May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$2.65May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$1.37May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$2.19May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$2.19May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$4.33May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$1.08May 1, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$9.75May 1, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$22.10May 1, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLightning vs. Canadiens$9.75May 1, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $15.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 22:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".