Same-Limo
0x3875edbb73e400efd6e6dca2333b3c8cae08a45e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$172.51
Total PnL
$-62.93
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
40 shares @ 87.5¢·now 76.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$30.40
$-4.60
- NO
Will Vici Gaming win the 2026 Games of the Future tournament
40 shares @ 82.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$28.60
$-4.20
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
40 shares @ 81.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$28.40
$-4.00
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$27.60
$-6.80
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$14.80
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.80
$-4.20
- NO
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.20
$-3.80
- YES
Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2026$9.40
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Virginia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
40 shares @ 18.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.40
$-4.80
- YES
Will "Hacks" win 8 or 9 awards at the Emmys?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$1.42
$-3.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$1.16Jul 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$1.16Jul 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$1.30Jul 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?$1.30Jul 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by August 31?$2.00Jul 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by August 31?$2.00Jul 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$17.31Jul 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?$17.60Jul 30, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?$16.80Jul 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?$34.70Jul 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?$17.60Jul 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?$17.80Jul 30, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?$2.32Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philip Sarnecki win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?$2.40Jul 30, 13:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$6.35Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$3.40Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$3.34Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?$0.06Jul 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?$2.32Jul 30, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 06:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 13:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.