Comfortable-Relief
0x387a05fa10717f0190e402e1cd645214a244098b
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-327.19
Realised
$-76.86
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
165 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 28?
149 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?
139 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 12?
119 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.22
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on January 22?
116 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.47
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 27?
114 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?
107 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?
103 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 19?
102 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 19?
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 27?$86.88Jul 27, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 27?$85.48Jul 27, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$87.58Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$86.35Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 27?$2.55Jun 27, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 5?$1.45Jun 4, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$3.00Jun 3, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$2.08May 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$3.53May 26, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$2.24May 23, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$113.28May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$0.12May 17, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$111.01May 17, 18:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?$20.44May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 11?$4.89May 11, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 30, 7PM ET$38.00May 11, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?$63.79May 2, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?$19.01Apr 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?$61.81Apr 26, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?$0.00Apr 26, 02:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $23.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 08:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.