Hefty-Ascot
0x387e029dd6d213a24854c37fd979181b3e423653
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$252.31
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$341.28
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
252 shares @ 35.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$252.31
$162.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?
11913 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-67.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
6601 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-206.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 4?
6414 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-120.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
5317 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-466.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 4?
5260 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-259.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?
1818 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
1704 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-264.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 4?
1611 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 3?
1146 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-297.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?$205.34Feb 2, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3?$205.11Feb 2, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 6?$9.00Feb 2, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 4?$0.68Feb 2, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$8.00Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$3.79Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$4.21Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$8.00Feb 2, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$8.00Feb 2, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?$7.20Feb 2, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$29.40Feb 2, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?$17.83Feb 2, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$90.00Feb 1, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$90.51Feb 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 2?$19.92Feb 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?$20.00Feb 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?$20.00Feb 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 2?$20.00Feb 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?$60.00Feb 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?$90.10Feb 1, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $39.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.