Squiggly-Disco
0x38803472080cec6f25f663c177a80642f1c0db44
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$175.73
Total PnL
$-16.5K
Realised
$22.6K
Win rate
95%
78 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
121 shares @ 49.9¢·now 31.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$38.11
$-22.21
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
195 shares @ 49.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.36
$-71.05
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
119 shares @ 50.0¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$15.60
$-43.70
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
122 shares @ 49.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$12.76
$-47.88
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
229 shares @ 49.9¢·now 3.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.58
$-105.71
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
229 shares @ 49.5¢·now 3.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.98
$-106.36
- YES
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$6.30
$-63.70
- YES
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
125 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.69
$-57.81
- YES
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
140 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.55
$-65.45
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
239 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.42
$-114.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 6, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$5.00Aug 5, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?$10.00Aug 1, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$10.00Aug 1, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$2.13Aug 1, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
89/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 78 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
78 closed markets, 95% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 78 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.