Squiggly-Disco
0x38803472080cec6f25f663c177a80642f1c0db44
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$759.62
Total PnL
$-98.11
Realised
$42.23
Win rate
67%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
127 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$121.05
$-0.66
- YES
Paraguay leading at halftime?
55 shares @ 33.3¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$48.58
$30.25
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
50 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$46.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
100 shares @ 37.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$36.50
$-1.00
- NO
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
40 shares @ 87.5¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$35.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 14.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$32.25
$25.11
- NO
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$30.25
$16.75
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
60 shares @ 33.3¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$28.50
$8.50
- NO
Morocco leading at halftime?
35 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.78
$-0.88
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
200 shares @ 33.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$22.99
$-43.65
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
33 closed markets, 67% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.