Afraid-Popularity
0x3887ffdd99627c69e588281ba2826fe6c4b49496
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$609.82
Total PnL
$-357.20
Realised
$-2.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
380 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$252.70
$-1.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$213.10
$13.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15?
142 shares @ 76.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$102.19
$-5.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?
34 shares @ 76.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$23.24
$-2.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?
22 shares @ 86.1¢·now 86.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$18.58
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13?
12 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.01
$-9.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 7?
328 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
163 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-146.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on June 1?
110 shares @ 85.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-94.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 4?
72 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-58.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13?$10.19Jun 14, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13?$188.48Jun 14, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?$201.60Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15?$7.82Jun 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15?$3.64Jun 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 15?$97.56Jun 14, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?$25.79Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 14?$0.01Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 14?$4.74Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on June 15?$18.58Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13?$130.20Jun 13, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 14?$5.04Jun 13, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14?$33.87Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 14?$5.28Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14?$5.00Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14?$4.74Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14?$1.50Jun 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on June 14?$1.00Jun 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 86°F or higher on June 13?$9.99Jun 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 14?$5.00Jun 13, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.