Knotty-Bachelor
0x3888b41a4914eca5332a670d52bf6243365b6e80
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$0.25
Total PnL
$-377.93
Realised
$9.63
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 46 million views on day 2?
11917 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.26
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 49 million views on day 2?
4498 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.55
- CARLOS ALCARAZ
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner
1940 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- NO
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?
1913 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
1583 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- YES
Will Tisza win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?$0.91Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.95Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.96Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 23, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$1.38Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.28Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.33Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.56Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers $3.83Apr 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$1.50Apr 22, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 22?$5.00Apr 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 22?$1.00Apr 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 22?$2.00Apr 21, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 22?$3.57Apr 21, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 21?$7.42Apr 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 21?$4.22Apr 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 21?$3.46Apr 21, 17:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.