Minty-Jewellery
0x38a10251314c356c3fdfac72c6956de747a7d1e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-21.6K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
36307 shares @ 7.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.2K
$-635.37
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$945.00
$105.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
9373 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-4.8K
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
6909 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?
6600 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-787.44
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
5496 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 26?
5166 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-402.62
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
5000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
3447 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.21Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.9KJun 27, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $356.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.