Nutritious-Plastic
0x38a1b79cc3b9c1742ac047c8c6e39e2f8aaf3154
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$188.12
Realised
$74.54
Win rate
80%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
63 shares @ 2.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$62.88
$61.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?
54 shares @ 73.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$53.82
$14.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 16?
50 shares @ 80.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$49.98
$9.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 16?
43 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$42.75
$2.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 16?
47 shares @ 88.9¢·now 90.8¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$42.65
$0.85
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 17?
46 shares @ 85.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$42.62
$3.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?
42 shares @ 74.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$41.38
$10.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?
50 shares @ 87.4¢·now 82.7¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$41.33
$-2.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 18?
55 shares @ 74.3¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$40.98
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 16?
45 shares @ 87.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$40.73
$1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?$3.65Jul 16, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?$3.60Jul 16, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?$4.20Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$4.14Jul 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 16?$1.13Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 16?$4.71Jul 16, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?$0.27Jul 16, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 16?$5.69Jul 16, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$4.14Jul 16, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 16?$4.75Jul 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 18?$3.60Jul 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$4.14Jul 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 17?$1.73Jul 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$4.14Jul 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 18?$4.52Jul 16, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?$4.33Jul 16, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 15?$40.00Jul 16, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on July 15?$10.00Jul 16, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on July 16?$4.27Jul 16, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 17?$4.62Jul 16, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 14:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.