Physical-Convention
0x38a33152af5e2c599d073b6b468a2e827506dd28
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-28.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
13 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$217.39Apr 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$150.00Feb 24, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$12.66Jan 3, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?$17.24Jan 3, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$75.41Jan 3, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.76Nov 7, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMGaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?$10.94Oct 9, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$3.95Oct 3, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$28.57Sep 15, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$10.00Sep 6, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$4.01Sep 2, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?$6.32Sep 2, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$54.10Aug 28, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$10.00Aug 28, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?$10.00Aug 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?$10.00Aug 28, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?$5.25Aug 28, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?$0.00Aug 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$7.46Aug 27, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 630k+ BTC by August 31?$12.59Aug 27, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $15.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 12:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".