Insignificant-Poker
0x38b7bd7881c4998471bd166860c8045093e9b533
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
65
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?
20 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$20.00
$0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-245.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
450 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-225.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
420 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?$19.76Jan 23, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$22.00Jan 23, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 17?$21.43Jan 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$210.00Dec 17, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 17, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$399.00Dec 17, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$480.00Dec 17, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Dec 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$199.50Dec 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$178.50Dec 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$2.00Dec 17, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$59.50Dec 17, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$245.00Dec 17, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$224.00Dec 17, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$496.00Dec 17, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$248.00Dec 17, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$112.00Dec 17, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$90.00Dec 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$70.00Dec 6, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$250.00Dec 6, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $97.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 03:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".