Arid-Ethics
0x38bed2756b51c4d847af0b188db637eeb203e67e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-169.55
Realised
$5.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?
409 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- TEAM WE
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
359 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?
193 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
114 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
100 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$3.00Mar 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?$5.00Mar 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$15.00Mar 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$10.00Mar 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.81Mar 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$6.67Mar 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$6.00Feb 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?$7.00Feb 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D$15.34Feb 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?$5.00Feb 28, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Rostov win on 2026-02-28?$10.00Feb 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Omega (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group D$5.00Feb 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?$2.00Feb 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?$15.00Feb 28, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Feb 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$14.00Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$23.16Feb 28, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffs$0.00Feb 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.28Feb 28, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 17:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 20:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".