Wary-Nobody
0x38c2264b4e3a747dba72206f5dec471d270c14db
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$270.27
Total PnL
$-20.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$150.27
$1.32
- NO
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?
120 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$120.00
$0.96
- YES
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?
226 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 25?
220 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?
203 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?
171 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?
125 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 20?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$148.95Apr 26, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.13Apr 10, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?$1.56Apr 9, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?$119.04Apr 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?$1.20Mar 30, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?$1.92Mar 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 25?$1.76Mar 24, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?$139.58Dec 6, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?$139.86Dec 6, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 7?$159.52Dec 6, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 7?$159.84Dec 6, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$169.49Dec 6, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$169.83Dec 6, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$150.00Nov 21, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$146.85Nov 15, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet between 420 and 439 times September 5–12?$50.05Oct 30, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?$60.06Oct 30, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill FlyQuest win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$130.00Oct 30, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?$200.00Oct 30, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?$49.25Oct 11, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $229.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.