Scary-Parallelogram
0x38cea9996bf98d4d78f47770aaeb71110f145988
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-418.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3200 in June?
3164 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-48.45
- YES
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?
455 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?
404 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-66.79
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?
396 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$3.00Nov 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$79.17Nov 25, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$48.45Jun 22, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$100.00Jun 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$158.45Jun 15, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?$66.79Jun 11, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?$100.00Jun 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?$100.00Jun 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$119.00Jun 11, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00Jun 11, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2800 in June?$385.79Jun 11, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2800 in June?$273.91Jun 3, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$100.00Jun 3, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$373.91Jun 3, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$123.39Jun 1, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$20.00May 30, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$16.80May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$46.00May 18, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $95.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.