Pessimistic-Subsidy
0x38d0d31e4d35dbb08d79dda2ae6bac25a1273873
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-131.51
Realised
$4.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
1030 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
452 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
140 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 6?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
77 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
74 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
46 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-23.20
- YES
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
40 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$7.33Nov 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.80Nov 15, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$11.13Nov 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.06Nov 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Nov 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.70Nov 15, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.80Nov 15, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$5.56Nov 15, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$2.78Nov 15, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$12.50Nov 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$10.70Nov 14, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.19Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.10Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.10Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.54Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.50Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.10Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.40Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.41Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.02Nov 14, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.