Left-Light
0x38d67848d323a73df272643c94a09abf4ee2220c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$-311.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
188915 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- NO
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?
51655 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-51.66
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?
12715 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-125.17
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 88% and 90%?
2242 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$64.97Nov 17, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?$51.66Nov 17, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$97.59Nov 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$0.04Nov 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$0.04Nov 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$0.07Nov 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$2.26Nov 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$30.57Nov 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$56.60Nov 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$95.65Nov 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$199.30Nov 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$58.86Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$84.70Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$11.13Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$17.98Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$362.93Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$82.40Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$246.10Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$319.47Nov 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?$47.28Nov 17, 20:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $52.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 22:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.