Oval-Photo
0x38d98577544c0c70196aafff02bca9e4a08da783
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$198.49
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$148.48
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
3609 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.49
$-126.30
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
11199 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-771.74
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
10956 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-284.65
- YES
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
4510 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
4039 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.27
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
3704 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-106.60
- YES
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
1320 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-434.03
- YES
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
1277 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.27
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
1063 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-456.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
1052 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-415.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$1.03May 30, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$7.91May 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$30.71May 30, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$101.86May 30, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 28, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$840.00Mar 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$142.00Mar 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$528.00Mar 11, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$99.63Mar 11, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$307.13Mar 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$8.37Mar 11, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$7.87Mar 11, 17:04 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Mar 8, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$198.87Mar 7, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$14.21Mar 7, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$3.92Mar 7, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$49.00Mar 7, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$98.00Mar 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?$116.00Mar 7, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$24.50Mar 7, 00:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $82.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.