Alert-Counter
0x38e2bf6191e074a7e7fd671b93ed6eeaaf8dae3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-106.08
Realised
$0.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-1.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
151 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be less than 150k?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
98 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05May 4, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.27May 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.02May 4, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.32May 4, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.02May 4, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$2.05May 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.05May 4, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$4.44May 4, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.08May 4, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.04May 4, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.01May 4, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.05May 4, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.82May 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.03May 4, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.20May 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.01May 4, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.27May 4, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.02May 4, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.61May 4, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$1.03May 4, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".