Variable-Underestimate
0x38e392b4af907bc489a1f67789a89e5a0e6dd86b
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$40.58
Total PnL
$21.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 22?$19.48Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 8?$0.00Mar 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 8?$5.95Mar 6, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Colombia" during the State of the Union address?$0.00Mar 5, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$24.03Mar 5, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Colombia" during the State of the Union address?$6.70Feb 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?$18.02Feb 9, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 9, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$9.04Feb 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$4.97Feb 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.5KFeb 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.5KFeb 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?$3.50Feb 2, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMMercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers$0.00Jan 24, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEM49ers vs. Seahawks$26.59Jan 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMercyhurst Lakers vs. New Haven Chargers$5.15Jan 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUY49ers vs. Seahawks$19.94Jan 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6PM ET$48.22Dec 30, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 6PM ET$24.59Dec 27, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.00Dec 10, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $195.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".