Ambitious-Mansion
0x38e3b8a47b2a14f33c9e9e250a556cbaa95a223d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$396.20
Total PnL
$-202.79
Realised
$4.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
400 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$396.20
$3.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10PM ET
144 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$105.86Feb 2, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$80.00Jan 27, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,975-$5,100 in January?$27.00Jan 27, 02:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.21Jan 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLOpinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?$38.00Jan 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.00Jan 26, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.20Jan 26, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jan 26, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.29Jan 26, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$3.75Jan 26, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$5.00Jan 26, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.14Jan 26, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$14.58Jan 26, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$10.00Jan 26, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 26, 4AM ET$2.00Jan 26, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.00Jan 26, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Jan 26, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.00Jan 26, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jan 26, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 02:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".