Outlandish-Jumbo
0x38f7c9060dfbf22f8eb0430ec508d573cbf3de86
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.56
Total PnL
$-389.27
Realised
$-15.04
Win rate
1%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?
4 shares @ 78.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 14?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 1PM ET
1350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9?
75 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 25?
34 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 13?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3AM ET
33 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 18?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?$3.03Aug 14, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 8PM ET$1.54Aug 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?$2.08Aug 14, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7PM ET$3.55Aug 14, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 7PM ET$1.41Aug 13, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 7PM ET$1.56Aug 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET$2.77Aug 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET$1.42Aug 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET$1.54Aug 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET$2.66Aug 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5PM ET$1.41Aug 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$2.40Aug 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$2.60Aug 13, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$1.54Aug 13, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$3.75Aug 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$3.11Aug 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$1.55Aug 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 13, 2PM ET$1.41Aug 13, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4PM ET$1.41Aug 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3PM ET$1.43Aug 13, 18:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
197 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 00:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.