Carefree-Polo
0x3900ee0c0d087f052088179f7819d9c6c0b3b787
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$122.74
Total PnL
$-0.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$105.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 21?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 21?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.81
$0.01
- NO
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Instants, an Instagram app be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.20
$0.00
- NO
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.08
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 28?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 28?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.60 and $2.70 on October 20?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.70 and $2.80 on October 20?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on October 20?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.80 and $2.90 on October 20?$0.00May 21, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$106.03May 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 21?$1.20May 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 21?$1.20May 21, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$1.20May 21, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 21?$1.00May 21, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 21?$1.00May 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 21?$1.80May 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 21?$1.90May 21, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beyonce have a #1 hit in the US in May?$1.10May 21, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$1.22May 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?$1.08May 21, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?$1.60May 21, 03:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $19.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".