Ultimate-Marshland
0x3904bbc18183c65971c88b0f8ced8f0727917d5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$129.15
Total PnL
$-25.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$80.65
$30.65
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$48.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 16?
100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- UCF
Houston vs. UCF
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$51.00May 24, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-08?$50.00Nov 8, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston vs. UCF$50.00Nov 8, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$101.63Nov 8, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Clippers$89.55Nov 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Clippers$96.04Nov 5, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 16?$4.90Oct 16, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 12?$100.94Oct 16, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 12?$100.84Oct 12, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$100.00Oct 9, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $71.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.