0x3906905707aaed33cab07c090e4dfb89596c4b42
0x3906905707aaed33cab07c090e4dfb89596c4b42
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$806.58
Total PnL
$-892.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
20 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$19.50
$-0.09
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.74
$0.25
- NO
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be less than $3B at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.66
$0.30
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.63
$0.14
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.45
$-0.04
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.45
$-0.04
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
18 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.43
$-0.06
- NO
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.40
$0.04
- NO
Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3B and $3.6B at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.39
$0.03
- NO
Will ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?
17 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$17.38
$0.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$17.02Jul 21, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: June$17.50Jul 21, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 1, 4PM ET$17.57Jul 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $69 on July 1?$17.37Jul 1, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 1, 4PM ET$17.38Jul 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?$17.38Jul 1, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals' market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.2B and $4.8B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3B and $3.6B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CopperTech Metals' market cap be less than $3B at market close on IPO day?$17.38Jul 1, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ITG's market cap be between $3.3B and $3.9B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ITG's market cap be between $2.7B and $3.3B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bending Spoons' market cap be between $19B and $22B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bending Spoons' market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?$17.37Jul 1, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by June 30?$17.18Jul 1, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?$17.18Jul 1, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$17.18Jul 1, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?$17.18Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?$17.19Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 1, 2PM ET$17.43Jul 1, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $17.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.