Crowded-Temperature
0x3907ae6fc2643140434fc49a389f68e5f4d6438a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-387.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
506 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
310 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
235 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Colorado be the last state to be called by the AP?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Florida be the last state to be called by the AP?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
99 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
76 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$25.00Nov 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Nov 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado be the last state to be called by the AP?$1.00Nov 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florida be the last state to be called by the AP?$1.00Nov 5, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 5, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 5, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$50.00Nov 4, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $32.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 16:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".