Pricey-Sticker
0x39102b7769072d942fad68b8c02ee478cc40ba74
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.20
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$49.52
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 5?
410 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.20
$-1.59
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
103333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-109.95
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 22?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4100 on August 25?
1459 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 25?
1256 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.22
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15?
1020 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-99.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?$3.76Jul 5, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 5?$1.80Jul 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 5?$1.54Jul 5, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 5?$0.44Jul 5, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C or higher on July 5?$1.89Jul 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 5?$5.24Jul 5, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 5?$12.51Jul 5, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?$39.39Jul 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 4?$22.88Jul 3, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?$0.53Jul 3, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on July 3?$1.05Jul 3, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?$10.45Jul 3, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?$18.14Jul 3, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 3?$1.86Jul 3, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$1.75Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$3.50Jul 2, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$1.75Jul 2, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?$3.52Jul 2, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$2.10Jul 2, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?$2.09Jul 2, 23:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 08:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.