Tender-Segment
0x3911a369d796fd70402e07fa9a57dfc15e102a50
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-120.58
Realised
$-20.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?
1017 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another candidate win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
970 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election?
432 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
290 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.06
- HARRIS
Who will win men?
154 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-14.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
AP doesn't call the election by November 20?
91 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win another state by the largest margin?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump win 3 swing states?
80 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.00Nov 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$10.00Nov 11, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.45Nov 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.05Nov 11, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.50Nov 11, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.29Nov 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.71Nov 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Nov 11, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?$100.00Nov 11, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".