0x3913e9eba4da6bb91394d9ced17521502dd09643
0x3913e9eba4da6bb91394d9ced17521502dd09643
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$9.63
Total PnL
$-36.54
Realised
$-4.10
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
32 shares @ 15.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.33
$1.17
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12 shares @ 17.3¢·now 15.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 38.7¢·now 29.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
1335 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
634 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NICOLAI BUDKOV KJAER
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertola
419 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.69
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
335 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.67
- SONAY KARTAL
BNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina
107 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- JACOB FEARNLEY
Phoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux
53 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royer$7.62Mar 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royer$5.00Mar 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royer$5.00Mar 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$4.00Mar 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.85Mar 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Mar 12, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-7.5)$10.64Mar 12, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMCap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Nick Hardt$16.97Mar 12, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$1.02Mar 12, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux$4.76Mar 12, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLPhoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux$2.90Mar 12, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix: Jacob Fearnley vs Arthur Cazaux$5.00Mar 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$2.67Mar 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Nick Hardt$5.00Mar 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap Cana: Mariano Navone vs Nick Hardt$5.00Mar 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina$5.33Mar 12, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?$1.87Mar 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-7.5)$5.00Mar 12, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 11, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".