0x391bb4e6b889f82ebaa0612ab60f1cb3dc96cf3e
0x391bb4e6b889f82ebaa0612ab60f1cb3dc96cf3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$165.10
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-45.74
Win rate
0%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-16?
56 shares @ 77.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$56.21
$12.50
- KT ROLSTER CHALLENGERS
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group
47 shares @ 43.2¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$19.41
$-0.80
- NO
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.80
$0.24
- NO
Nick Fuentes federally charged?
12 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.55
$-0.07
- NO
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
11 shares @ 66.8¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.92
$0.42
- LYON
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner
8 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$7.71
$0.21
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
10 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.38
$0.57
- NO
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.97
$0.21
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 92.2¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.82
$0.01
- HENRY BERNET
Sion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$4.47
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$16.57Aug 17, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.52Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolina$1.53Aug 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet$1.52Aug 17, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet$1.52Aug 17, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMKingston: Miguel Tobon vs Lorenzo Claverie$3.20Aug 17, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMKingston: Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos$24.62Aug 17, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMKingston: Matt Kuhar vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos$0.00Aug 17, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndependiente Santa Fe vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5$1.55Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKingston: Miguel Tobon vs Lorenzo Claverie$1.54Aug 17, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSion: Johan Nikles vs Henry Bernet$1.52Aug 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils$1.55Aug 17, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
42 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.