Hard-Roundabout
0x3920030998e9ded0bdf04ad8fb649d892b368c36
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.18
Total PnL
$-2.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before July?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rob 'Boston Rob' Mariano win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.30Oct 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$371.53Oct 16, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in September?$1.03Oct 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$371.90Oct 14, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$374.81Oct 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$375.19Oct 14, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$1.00Sep 24, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in September?$1.00Sep 24, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico"?$1.00Sep 24, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?$0.00Sep 24, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMHarvard international students ban ended before August?$0.00Sep 24, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?$0.00Sep 24, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$3.16Sep 24, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?$1.19Sep 24, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMHarvard international students ban ended before August?$1.35Sep 24, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?$1.41Sep 24, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before July?$1.00Jun 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael intercepts Greta Thunberg's ship before reaching Gaza?$1.00Jun 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Metaplanet hold 10k+ BTC before July?$1.00Jun 5, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $49.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".