Mild-Elephant
0x392529af3fa034ff3550458211e01d33a253b8a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-81.47
Realised
$-2.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?
412 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
22 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.32
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
15 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.26
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
12 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
12 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.27
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 2PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- UP
BNB Up or Down - March 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$17.74May 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$1.53May 29, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?$5.13May 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?$5.21May 28, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?$0.14Apr 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?$1.00Apr 26, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?$1.84Apr 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?$6.02Apr 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?$2.70Apr 26, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 26, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 25, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$173.75Apr 21, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$30.00Apr 21, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$30.00Apr 21, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?$30.00Apr 21, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.23Apr 19, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.32Apr 19, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.