Experienced-Healthcare
0x392543e363a6b4b816d57f36eb643e2ed7b6d2f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$423.56
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-2.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
2553 shares @ 5.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$213.15
$85.56
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
7012 shares @ 2.3¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.74
$-21.24
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?
1333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$34.66
$-5.34
- YES
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by August 31, 2026?
520 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$23.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.70
$2.70
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
611 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.58
$-6.42
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$70.00Jul 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$15.00Jul 21, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$20.99Jul 20, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$5.14Jul 19, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$5.24Jul 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?$7.32Jul 19, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$10.49Jul 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$5.25Jul 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$6.30Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$6.30Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$5.01Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?$10.46Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$10.48Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$10.49Jul 19, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$51.80Jul 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$10.49Jul 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$15.70Jul 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?$8.39Jul 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$5.25Jul 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$62.96Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $22.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.