Carefree-Childbirth
0x3925ac05d623cd794b51def768aa06c50a07fd89
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$210.11
Total PnL
$-213.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
211 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$210.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Newcastle United finish first in UCL league phase?
216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-107.80
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
211 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-105.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$210.03Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$199.77Jun 9, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$200.02May 18, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$210.49Mar 13, 22:14 UTC
- SPLITWill the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$210.70Feb 28, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?$16.57Feb 28, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$122.69Feb 28, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?$15.55Feb 12, 07:08 UTC
- SPLITWill Li Guyi perform at the Spring Festival Gala?$1.00Feb 12, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Booster Robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$120.00Feb 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United finish first in UCL league phase?$215.38Dec 10, 21:54 UTC
- SPLITWill Newcastle United finish first in UCL league phase?$215.60Dec 10, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$120.33Dec 10, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$120.21Nov 30, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMNext French confidence vote passes?$120.21Nov 30, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French confidence vote passes?$119.97Oct 29, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?$9.51Oct 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?$9.35Aug 31, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMReds vs. Tigers$61.98Aug 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$3.95Jun 15, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $55.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.