Rude-Property
0x392807fd680f8f550d3b5dcf1aa4c7d8783f1e39
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-208.37
Win rate
55%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?
1258 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
"Gabby’s Dollhouse" grosses higher than "One Battle After Another" opening weekend?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 4?
1187 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?
1052 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will "Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
1050 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Caught Stealing" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $10m?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $29m?
858 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-36.95
- YES
Will "Downton Abbey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?
819 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 July 20-26?$0.28Jul 27, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 21?$0.25Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 21?$0.75Jul 21, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 21?$0.25Jul 21, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 21?$1.11Jul 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 27?$0.33Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 27?$0.19Jun 27, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?$0.23Jun 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 22?$0.35Jun 22, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 22?$0.06Jun 22, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$0.06Jun 22, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?$0.17Jun 22, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 22?$0.21Jun 22, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 18?$0.58Jun 18, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 17?$0.27Jun 18, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?$0.21Jun 17, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?$0.09Jun 17, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16?$1.07Jun 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 16?$1.17Jun 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 16?$0.55Jun 16, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
55% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.