Pink-Head-Idea
0x39299fd181f98278d9c62e419d765e69a5b0afd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-681.46
Realised
$-16.44
Win rate
7%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29?
378 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-149.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?
314 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 30?
292 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-149.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?
234 shares @ 63.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-149.49
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
179 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.69
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
134 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?
66 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 16?$5.09Aug 16, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?$5.14Aug 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 13?$5.06Aug 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 12?$5.13Aug 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 11?$5.07Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?$10.98Aug 10, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?$4.97Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?$17.10Aug 9, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?$5.14Aug 9, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 7?$5.13Aug 6, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$152.20Jul 16, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 15?$153.41Jul 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?$150.99Jul 15, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 15?$149.57Jul 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?$156.34Jul 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?$149.83Jul 13, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?$153.47Jul 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?$149.68Jul 12, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 11?$151.89Jul 11, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 11?$149.61Jul 10, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $70.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.