Compassionate-Reef
0x392a8f773f130f54c51ccf88dd552d55aacd6bba
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$7.32
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
3619 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
2965 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-507.49
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 630 and 659 times August 29–September 5?
2896 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1186 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?
1107 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-550.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times?
1063 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 600 and 629 times August 29–September 5?
1042 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?
548 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
439 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$90.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$17.00Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-18?$5.00Dec 18, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?$111.61Dec 18, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?$84.00Dec 18, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?$44.64Dec 18, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?$50.47Dec 18, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$3.00Dec 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$3.00Dec 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$38.29Dec 18, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$12.60Dec 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$12.50Dec 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.14Dec 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$5.90Dec 16, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.00Dec 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$27.20Dec 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Guadalajara win on 2025-12-16?$2.00Dec 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?$45.10Dec 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$2.90Dec 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-14?$2.86Dec 14, 21:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".