Hopeful-Espadrille
0x3933db6220156b6133b39b2cc54c67600d623e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$553.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
1177 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.2K
$977.06
- YES
Will Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?
9151 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-109.99
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
1227 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-160.00
- YES
Will Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?
1164 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
370 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration?
210 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.50
- YES
Trump signs national abortion ban?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the Democratic candidate win Iowa by 4.0% or more?
188 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $1 before December?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$150.00Nov 21, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$0.00Nov 20, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 325-349 times November 8-15?$0.00Nov 20, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "It's not over" in her speech after the election is called?$0.00Nov 20, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300-324 times November 8-15?$0.00Nov 20, 11:54 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.00Nov 20, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 219 seats in the House after the election?$20.00Nov 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 218 or fewer seats in the House after the election?$30.00Nov 20, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?$100.00Nov 15, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times November 8-15?$50.00Nov 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times November 8-15?$40.00Nov 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin reach $1 before December?$10.00Nov 14, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? $50.50Nov 14, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $200.00Nov 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$43.00Nov 14, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?$693.50Nov 14, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel on Nov 5?$0.00Nov 6, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 80-89 times Nov 1-8?$10.89Nov 6, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$10.00Nov 6, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $37.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".