Lively-Pigsty
0x393698963563734a4263313c2d87c43211a08f21
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
178
Open notional
$78.07
Total PnL
$-148.23
Realised
$-3.24
Win rate
10%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 178- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
16 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.03
$0.03
- ANTHROPIC
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
19 shares @ 80.1¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.18
$-2.82
- NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 94.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 92.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$3.10
$2.10
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
3 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.77
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$0.12Jun 14, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$0.03Jun 14, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$0.03Jun 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?$0.03Jun 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.01Jun 14, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?$1.03Jun 14, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.04Jun 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.01Jun 14, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?$0.07Jun 14, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 14, 01:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 13?$1.43Jun 13, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?$1.47Jun 13, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13?$1.52Jun 13, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.