Marvelous-Probe
0x394a0d3cfce83f58caf02402faea5b146d82077c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- DOWN
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Meta (META) Up or Down on December 9?
175 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by November 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 13?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
72 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-27.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$27.54Feb 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$27.54Feb 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$52.58Feb 8, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$24.70Feb 6, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$27.87Feb 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$30.63Feb 4, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$15.00Feb 4, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$15.00Feb 4, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.64Jan 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 22, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 21, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$0.33Jan 18, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$4.44Jan 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 18, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$79.22Jan 18, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$39.11Jan 13, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$39.11Jan 13, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$58.66Jan 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?$2.00Dec 9, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".