0x3955f21c21bc0ad6089b184151c243043a6f74ca
0x3955f21c21bc0ad6089b184151c243043a6f74ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$773.93
Total PnL
$-432.47
Realised
$-197.70
Win rate
42%
149 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 2?
186 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$186.30
$169.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 1?
51 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$51.25
$1.25
- NO
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?
41 shares @ 63.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$41.08
$15.08
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 24.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.51
$23.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 3?
30 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$30.39
$0.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on February 3?
19 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$18.61
$0.19
- NO
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?
17 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$17.48
$5.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 4?
17 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$16.72
$1.72
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?
17 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$16.58
$9.45
- NO
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?
15 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$15.49
$4.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 149 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
149 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 149 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.