Unwitting-Arm
0x395dd552ddcdd58f663a4a2da13a670996b1ab30
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$457.45
Total PnL
$147.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1071 shares @ 2.8¢·now 25.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$269.46
$239.47
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
962 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.98
$-12.02
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1765 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1087 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
735 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$23.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1035 shares @ 2.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$16.05
$-13.95
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.38
$-0.63
- YES
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 8.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$8.63
$-1.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Sweden?$10.28Jun 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?$10.00Jun 19, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$25.98Jun 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.88Jun 19, 16:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31.46Jun 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$31.46Jun 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$36.01Jun 16, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 15, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$10.40Jun 15, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50Jun 15, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.50Jun 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$25.97Jun 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.75Jun 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.42Jun 15, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $22.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.