Defiant-Bikini
0x396090c9c214a223ba92fd2c37dc6bdf0118d80b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$2.25
Total PnL
$-55.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
23000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on February 16?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 22?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 22?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$1.00Jun 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.01Jun 10, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.33Jun 10, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.02May 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in April?$1.07Apr 30, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22?$1.00Apr 30, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 22?$1.00Apr 22, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 22, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?$1.02Apr 22, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 31?$3.01Apr 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 31?$1.00Mar 30, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 18:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 18:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.