Knotty-Carrot
0x3965579580762823e9cc1a8157f52edb91955d31
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-54.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?
750 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
633 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.29
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
460 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
449 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on November 6?
390 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $126K July 28–August 3?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
290 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 13?
281 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-13.72
- YES
Will Kevin Roy win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
280 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.86Mar 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.25Mar 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Roy win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$2.52Mar 25, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.84Mar 22, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$11.29Mar 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRice vs. South Florida$8.74Nov 29, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.38Nov 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on November 10?$6.75Nov 9, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be less than $140 on November 6?$2.34Oct 31, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$49.65Oct 29, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$165.46Oct 29, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$180.00Oct 29, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?$49.65Oct 29, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 8?$1.26Oct 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$1.00Sep 25, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on August 13?$13.72Aug 11, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $126K July 28–August 3?$1.00Aug 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$178.38Jul 24, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$4.49Jun 23, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$168.81Jun 22, 11:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $363.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 17:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".