Serpentine-Hawk
0x396c128dde33c574c20b75628e4e771ea1ab8e4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$82.35Mar 25, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$5.00Mar 24, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? $11.13Mar 24, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$7.22Mar 14, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?$0.04Mar 14, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$2.22Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$1.94Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$1.38Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.84Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$0.58Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?$0.21Mar 14, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$2.31Mar 13, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?$1.50Mar 13, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Mar 13, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?$1.00Mar 13, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no leader be out in 2025?$5.81Mar 13, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no leader be out in 2025?$5.94Mar 11, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump positive approval on April 1?$1.00Mar 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia recapture Sudzha by March 31?$6.94Mar 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? $6.28Mar 11, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.