Buoyant-Postage
0x3972638ddbde0c2da58dc0f880ca85acce5fa677
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-49.72
Win rate
1%
191 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 22?
436 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?
325 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 22?
309 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-32.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 27?
292 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 21?
277 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 21?
253 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-23.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 22?
224 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 29?
224 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on May 21?
196 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-31.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 21?
195 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-18.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 1?$0.14Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 23?$0.15Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 26?$0.45Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 26?$0.50Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 26?$0.71Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 6?$25.74Jun 8, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 5?$8.07Jun 8, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 6?$131.81Jun 6, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 6?$57.67Jun 6, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on June 6?$59.66Jun 6, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?$38.07Jun 6, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?$25.81Jun 6, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 6?$35.00Jun 6, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 5?$21.14Jun 6, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5?$3.61Jun 6, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 5?$27.46Jun 6, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?$36.64Jun 6, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 5?$27.10Jun 6, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 5?$40.92Jun 6, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?$64.60Jun 6, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 191 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
191 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $14.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 191 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.