Mindless-Jet
0x3975aba26471a704ca021b4afa2f7dfd49360f53
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-729.58
Win rate
10%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
252738 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-636.90
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
88631 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-180.45
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
82250 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-949.49
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?
78769 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-289.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 20?
69369 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-237.73
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 19?
38203 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-78.85
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
34556 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
33552 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-54.39
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
26260 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.12
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 18?
21474 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-35.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.94Mar 7, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$2.54Mar 7, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$3.40Mar 7, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$3.09Mar 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?$2.80Mar 4, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?$0.18Feb 28, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?$0.48Feb 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?$0.44Feb 27, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 4?$0.12Feb 26, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?$3.80Feb 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 3?$1.20Feb 26, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?$1.82Feb 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?$0.00Feb 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?$0.13Feb 26, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 3?$0.20Feb 26, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Feb 26, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on March 3?$0.50Feb 25, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 3?$3.30Feb 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 3?$1.20Feb 25, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.50Feb 25, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 02:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.