Defiant-Carabao
0x39782418b219db25a0701630c0ea8bca0ba04c25
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 27?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on April 26?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 26?
67 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27?
61 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?
58 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on April 26?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 26?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 26?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 26?
47 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on April 26?
42 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00May 2, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$25.81May 2, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.25May 2, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?$8.21Apr 28, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 28, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?$0.00Apr 28, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?$0.00Apr 28, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?$0.18Apr 28, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?$2.93Apr 28, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?$4.15Apr 27, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 27?$0.01Apr 27, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 27?$0.08Apr 26, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 27?$1.83Apr 26, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?$0.08Apr 26, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 27?$0.23Apr 26, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 27?$2.15Apr 26, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 27?$0.35Apr 26, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 27?$4.11Apr 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 27?$0.01Apr 26, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?$1.92Apr 26, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 07:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.