Distorted-Rationale
0x3979180b6a0a752c341e5081e916b7823b00dcdd
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.85
Total PnL
$-3.25
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kathleen Riebe be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.75
$0.75
- NO
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.18
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?
3 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$2.38
$0.00
- NO
New Air Force One in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Stacey Abrams be arrested in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 26?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$272.45Nov 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?$3.00Nov 26, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$276.90Nov 26, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$282.54Nov 26, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$285.20Nov 26, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 26?$2.00Nov 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kathleen Riebe be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?$10.00Nov 26, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Pacers$1.47Nov 26, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran behind June 12 internet outages?$2.17Nov 26, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel by Friday?$2.90Nov 26, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Pacers$1.00Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran behind June 12 internet outages?$2.00Jun 13, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Friday?$2.00Jun 13, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMNew Pope before July?$0.00Jun 13, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$2.04Jun 13, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.35Jun 13, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope before July?$1.00Mar 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$2.00Mar 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.00Mar 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2025?$2.00Mar 18, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $28.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.